Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.760111 0.867363 0.984130 1.120674 1.275957 1.447055 1.649895
2025-03-09 0.588303 0.733404 0.905482 1.124524 1.395927 1.721225 2.140921
2025-03-16 0.491376 0.652054 0.854452 1.127965 1.487934 1.945651 2.572332
2025-03-23 0.427276 0.596740 0.821000 1.139237 1.579212 2.166278 3.009924
2025-03-30 0.367239 0.536242 0.769696 1.115370 1.614165 2.308136 3.348178
2025-04-06 0.319844 0.486074 0.724706 1.091770 1.642119 2.437004 3.673878
2025-04-13 0.277580 0.437586 0.675528 1.054536 1.643075 2.522708 3.939270
2025-04-20 0.265752 0.433257 0.690532 1.113657 1.792145 2.838457 4.577203
2025-04-27 0.253667 0.426784 0.700850 1.165296 1.932756 3.151420 5.236910
2025-05-04 0.241533 0.418636 0.707139 1.210068 2.065002 3.460526 5.915654
2025-05-11 0.225498 0.402087 0.697692 1.227075 2.151586 3.700815 6.499036
2025-05-18 0.203751 0.373359 0.664809 1.200442 2.160432 3.810160 6.866132
2025-05-25 0.186258 0.350786 0.641038 1.188514 2.195577 3.970470 7.342610
2025-06-01 0.173002 0.334607 0.627066 1.192797 2.260007 4.187518 7.940566
2025-06-08 0.161069 0.319612 0.613663 1.196446 2.322808 4.405590 8.557713
2025-06-15 0.151410 0.307955 0.605251 1.208396 2.401637 4.658594 9.261126
2025-06-22 0.138208 0.287964 0.579008 1.183094 2.405712 4.769831 9.698629
2025-06-29 0.126394 0.269585 0.554173 1.158075 2.407593 4.875938 10.133404
2025-07-06 0.114246 0.249310 0.523678 1.118601 2.376331 4.913237 10.430705
2025-07-13 0.113326 0.252694 0.541706 1.181278 2.561121 5.399543 11.695369
2025-07-20 0.111547 0.254024 0.555491 1.236020 2.733588 5.873750 12.973679
2025-07-27 0.109114 0.253655 0.565565 1.283483 2.894174 6.335288 14.262642
2025-08-03 0.104322 0.247488 0.562483 1.301511 2.991445 6.668926 15.298298